语言:简体中文
Nautico PE v Athletic Club (MG)
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nautico PE (主队)
预测 51.01%1.96公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -2.19%
Kelly -4.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.88
博彩公司预测分布
49.49%51.03%50.93%52.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.781.8859.52%56.09%56.18%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
Athletic Club (MG) (客队)
预测 21.59%4.63公平赔率
EV +1.49%
优势 +0.318%
Kelly +0.404%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
19.83%21.52%21.74%22.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.394.404.7025.00%22.76%22.73%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.40%3.65公平赔率
EV -4.10%
优势 -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.65%27.44%27.34%28.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.313.353.5031.75%30.19%29.85%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nautico PE (主队)：51.01%；Athletic Club (MG) (客队)：21.59%；平局：27.40%。 对于“Athletic Club (MG) (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.63。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.70，对应+1.49%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.665%E -0.145%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -0.665%E -0.145%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 23:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.00%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.12%EV -1.96%E -0.432%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.87%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.82%E -0.628%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.82%E -0.628%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -3.90%E -0.877%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.27%E -7.13%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.00%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.24%EV -5.20%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -9.03%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66% | 0.4% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |