Langue:Français
Nautico PE v Athletic Club (MG)
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 51.01%1.96cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.88
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.49%51.03%50.93%52.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.781.781.8859.52%56.09%56.18%53.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.59%4.63cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.318%
Kelly +0.404%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.83%21.52%21.74%22.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.404.7025.00%22.76%22.73%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.40%3.65cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.65%27.44%27.34%28.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.313.353.5031.75%30.19%29.85%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Nautico PE (Local) : 51.01% ; Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur) : 21.59% ; Match nul : 27.40%. Pour Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.63. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +1.49%.
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.665%E -0.145%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -0.665%E -0.145%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 23:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.00%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.12%EV -1.96%E -0.432%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.87%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.82%E -0.628%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.82%E -0.628%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -3.90%E -0.877%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.27%E -7.13%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.00%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.24%EV -5.20%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -9.03%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66% | 0.4% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |