StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE v Athletic Club (MG)

Matchstart: 2026-08-28 23:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Nautico PE 2–1 Athletic Club (MG)

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nautico PE (Hemma)

Prognos 51.01%1.96rättvist odds
EV -4.11%
Fördel -2.19%
Kelly -4.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.88

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.49%51.03%50.93%52.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.681.781.781.8859.52%56.09%56.18%53.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Borta)

Prognos 21.59%4.63rättvist odds
EV +1.49%
Fördel +0.318%
Kelly +0.404%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.83%21.52%21.74%22.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.394.404.7025.00%22.76%22.73%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.40%3.65rättvist odds
EV -4.10%
Fördel -1.17%
Kelly -1.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.65%27.44%27.34%28.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.313.353.5031.75%30.19%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nautico PE (Hemma): 51.01%; Athletic Club (MG) (Borta): 21.59%; Oavgjort: 27.40%. För Athletic Club (MG) (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.63. 9 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.49%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 23:25
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.35%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +1.49%E +0.318%K +0.404%G +0.006%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.68%E -4.24%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.665%E -0.145%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 23:20
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -0.665%E -0.145%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 23:18
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.00%EV -4.11%E -2.19%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.12%EV -1.96%E -0.432%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.87%EV -5.74%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.82%E -0.628%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -5.47%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.88%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -2.82%E -0.628%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 23:15
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.78%EV -9.21%E -5.17%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.71%EV -3.90%E -0.877%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 23:24
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -9.72%E -5.49%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -11.76%E -6.80%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.33%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.27%E -7.13%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 22:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.00%EV -12.78%E -7.47%K -18.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -4.98%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.32%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-28 23:15
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.15%E -3.34%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.24%EV -5.20%E -1.18%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -9.03%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-28 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.10%EV -14.31%E -8.52%K -21.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -6.06%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -13.69%E -4.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-28 23:15
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.50%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.10%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 23:25
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.14%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 23:20
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -5.64%E -3.05%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 23:25
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-28 21:05
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 23:25
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 23:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 23:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -10.74%E -6.14%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -9.30%E -2.22%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.46%E -2.80%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -8.21%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 23:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.84%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -6.66%E -3.64%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -10.95%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 23:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -8.19%E -4.55%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -13.62%E -3.41%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.58%E -2.90%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 21:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.66%0.4%2026-08-28 23:25
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-08-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.40%1.4%2026-08-28 23:25