Language:English
Londrina v Vila Nova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 37.71%2.65fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.974%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.79%37.68%37.61%38.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.472.6143.48%40.47%40.49%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Vila Nova (Visit)
Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.89%31.82%31.72%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.883.1037.04%34.68%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.50%30.67%32.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.16%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 37.71%; Vila Nova (Visit): 31.82%; Draw: 30.47%. For Vila Nova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -1.57%E -0.601%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -11.33%E -3.89%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -3.59%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:52 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.69%E -5.24%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 13:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 1.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61% | 3.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |