A Escola das Odds

Londrina v Vila Nova

Início: 2026-05-31 14:02 UTC

Final: Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 37.71%2.65odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -0.974%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.79%37.68%37.61%38.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.472.472.6143.48%40.47%40.49%38.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Vila Nova (Visitante)

Previsão 31.82%3.14odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.441%
Kelly -0.651%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.89%31.82%31.72%33.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.882.883.1037.04%34.68%34.72%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.47%3.28odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -0.781%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.16%30.50%30.67%32.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.16%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -1.57%E -0.601%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -11.33%E -3.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -3.59%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:59
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 14:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 14:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:52
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:59
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:59
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:58
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 14:00
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:59
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:00
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 14:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 13:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 14:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.69%E -5.24%K -8.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 14:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 13:58
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-31 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-31 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-05-31 14:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-05-31 14:00