La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Londrina v Vila Nova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 37.71%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.974%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.79%37.68%37.61%38.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.472.6143.48%40.47%40.49%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vila Nova (Visitante)
Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.441%
Kelly -0.651%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.89%31.82%31.72%33.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.883.1037.04%34.68%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.16%30.50%30.67%32.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.16%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -1.57%E -0.601%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -11.33%E -3.89%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -3.59%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:52 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BetUS | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:58 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.69%E -5.24%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-31 13:58 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 1.2% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 1.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 1.5% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61% | 3.7% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |