مدرسة الاحتمالات

Londrina v Vila Nova

البداية: 2026-05-31 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Londrina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.71%2.65السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.601%
Kelly -0.974%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.79%37.68%37.61%38.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.472.472.6143.48%40.47%40.49%38.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vila Nova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.82%3.14السعر العادل
EV -1.37%
الأفضلية -0.441%
Kelly -0.651%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.89%31.82%31.72%33.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.882.883.1037.04%34.68%34.72%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.47%3.28السعر العادل
EV -2.50%
الأفضلية -0.781%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.16%30.50%30.67%32.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.16%33.33%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -1.57%E -0.601%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -11.33%E -3.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -3.59%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:59
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 14:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 14:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:52
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:59
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:59
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:58
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 14:00
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:59
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:00
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 14:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 13:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 14:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.69%E -5.24%K -8.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 14:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 13:58
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-31 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-31 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-05-31 14:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-05-31 14:00