L’École des cotes

Londrina v Vila Nova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 14:02 UTC

Score final : Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Londrina (Local)

Prévision 37.71%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -0.974%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.79%37.68%37.61%38.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.472.472.6143.48%40.47%40.49%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vila Nova (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.441%
Kelly -0.651%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.89%31.82%31.72%33.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.883.1037.04%34.68%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.781%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.16%30.50%30.67%32.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.023.003.2036.36%33.16%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.79%EV -1.57%E -0.601%K -0.974%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -7.41%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.10%EV -11.33%E -3.89%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Pinnacle2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -3.08%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.74%EV -3.59%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.83%EV -4.94%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 13:59
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:59
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.61%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.56%EV -5.19%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:00
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 14:00
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 14:00
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -2.50%E -0.781%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 14:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:52
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:59
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:59
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 37.38%EV -6.85%E -2.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 13:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -4.02%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:58
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 14:00
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -1.37%E -0.441%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.29%EV -12.55%E -4.37%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:59
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -7.09%E -2.43%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:00
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 14:00
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 13:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.12%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 14:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 13:59
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -14.69%E -5.24%K -8.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 14:00
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 13:58
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.59%E -2.86%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.40%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.09%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -16.21%E -5.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-31 13:59
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -11.64%E -4.01%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-31 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%1.2%2026-05-31 14:00
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-05-31 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%1.5%2026-05-31 14:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 38.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%3.7%2026-05-31 14:00