Язык:Русский
Londrina v Botafogo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Londrina (Хозяева)
Прогноз 31.51%3.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.32%
Преимущество -0.747%
Kelly -1.10%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.23%31.75%31.29%34.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.552.852.883.1039.22%35.15%34.72%32.26%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Botafogo (Гости)
Прогноз 38.01%2.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.721%
Преимущество +0.272%
Kelly +0.437%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.65
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.73%37.81%38.09%39.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.372.462.422.6542.19%40.59%41.41%37.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 30.48%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.37%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.42%30.43%30.62%31.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.003.003.1734.72%33.35%33.33%31.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Londrina (Хозяева): 31.51%; Botafogo (Гости): 38.01%; Ничья: 30.48%. Для исхода «Botafogo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.63. 7 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.65, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.721%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.13%E -6.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.39%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 23:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.97%EV -8.86%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.40%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -9.16%E -3.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.95%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -6.12%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |