A Escola das Odds

Londrina v Botafogo

Início: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC

Final: Londrina 0–0 Botafogo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 31.51%3.17odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.747%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.23%31.75%31.29%34.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.552.852.883.1039.22%35.15%34.72%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Visitante)

Previsão 38.01%2.63odd justa
EV +0.721%
Vantagem +0.272%
Kelly +0.437%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.73%37.81%38.09%39.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.372.462.422.6542.19%40.59%41.41%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.48%3.28odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.42%30.43%30.62%31.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.003.003.1734.72%33.35%33.33%31.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:49
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:50
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.13%E -6.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 23:44
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 23:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-17 23:50
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.39%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:45
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 23:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 23:44
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 23:44
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 23:43
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:44
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:44
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.97%EV -8.86%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 23:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.40%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 23:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 23:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:44
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 23:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:44
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 23:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 23:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 23:45
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -9.16%E -3.83%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 23:55
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.95%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -6.12%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 23:54
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 23:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-07-17 23:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-07-17 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-07-17 23:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-07-17 23:50