La escuela de los momiosLondrina v Botafogo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 31.51%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.747%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.23%31.75%31.29%34.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.852.883.1039.22%35.15%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Botafogo (Visitante)
Predicción 38.01%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.721%
Ventaja +0.272%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.73%37.81%38.09%39.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.372.462.422.6542.19%40.59%41.41%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.48%3.28momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%30.43%30.62%31.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.003.003.1734.72%33.35%33.33%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.13%E -6.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.39%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 23:43 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.97%EV -8.86%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.40%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -9.16%E -3.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.95%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -6.12%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |