L’École des cotesLondrina v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Londrina (Local)
Prévision 31.51%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.747%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.23%31.75%31.29%34.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.852.883.1039.22%35.15%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 38.01%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.721%
Avantage +0.272%
Kelly +0.437%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.73%37.81%38.09%39.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.372.462.422.6542.19%40.59%41.41%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.48%3.28cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.42%30.43%30.62%31.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.003.003.1734.72%33.35%33.33%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.13%E -6.51%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-17 23:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.39%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 23:43 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.97%EV -8.86%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.40%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-17 23:45 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -9.16%E -3.83%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.95%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -6.12%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-17 23:54 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-17 23:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 1.5% | 2026-07-17 23:50 |