مدرسة الاحتمالات

Londrina v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Londrina 0–0 Botafogo

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Londrina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.51%3.17السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -0.747%
Kelly -1.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.23%31.75%31.29%34.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.852.883.1039.22%35.15%34.72%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.01%2.63السعر العادل
EV +0.721%
الأفضلية +0.272%
Kelly +0.437%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.73%37.81%38.09%39.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.372.462.422.6542.19%40.59%41.41%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.48%3.28السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -1.56%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.42%30.43%30.62%31.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.003.003.1734.72%33.35%33.33%31.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:49
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:44
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV +0.721%E +0.272%K +0.437%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-17 23:50
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -17.13%E -6.51%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -1.18%E -0.453%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 23:44
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.15%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.38%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-17 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.29%EV -18.07%E -6.95%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.96%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 23:49
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -3.08%E -1.21%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-17 23:50
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.53%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.39%EV -3.37%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-17 23:45
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -14.92%E -5.53%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -10.08%E -3.42%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-17 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 23:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -19.65%E -7.70%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -4.98%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.47%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 23:44
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.98%E -1.26%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 23:44
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 23:43
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 23:44
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:44
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.88%E -2.81%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-17 23:44
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -7.26%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.97%EV -8.86%E -2.96%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 23:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.10%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.02%E -3.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 23:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.16%EV -8.40%E -3.49%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 23:54
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:55
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -2.32%E -0.747%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 23:55
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 23:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-17 23:44
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 23:55
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 23:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -5.47%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-17 23:44
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.77%E -4.20%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -5.51%E -1.78%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 23:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.62%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-17 23:44
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -12.21%E -4.24%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-17 23:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.78%E -3.66%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-17 23:45
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.04%E -2.39%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.55%EV -9.16%E -3.83%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -7.03%E -2.31%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 23:55
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -2.95%E -0.957%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.36%EV -6.12%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 23:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 23:55
betano_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -9.25%E -3.21%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -11.60%E -4.00%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 23:54
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.54%E -4.01%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-17 23:44
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -13.35%E -4.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.92%E -4.19%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.56%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-17 23:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-07-17 23:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-07-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-07-17 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-07-17 23:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-07-17 23:50