Szkoła Kursów

Juventude v Vila Nova

Początek: 2026-07-10 22:04 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Juventude 1–0 Vila Nova

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

46 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Juventude (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 50.08%2.00kurs godziwy
EV -3.84%
Przewaga -2.00%
Kelly -4.17%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.92

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.76%50.05%50.11%53.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.821.851.9258.82%54.92%54.20%52.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Vila Nova (Goście)

Prognoza 20.48%4.88kurs godziwy
EV +0.331%
Przewaga +0.068%
Kelly +0.085%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.90

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.78%20.61%20.52%22.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.514.504.9025.00%22.19%22.22%20.41%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.44%3.40kurs godziwy
EV -4.32%
Przewaga -1.33%
Kelly -1.92%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.18%29.33%29.36%30.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.113.123.2533.33%32.12%32.05%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 22:00
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -7.85%E -4.26%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.74%E -0.577%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 22:00
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.10%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.30%EV -2.95%E -0.621%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 22:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 21:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -11.35%E -6.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -12.86%E -7.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.46%EV -13.36%E -7.72%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-10 22:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 51.60%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-10 22:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 21:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 21:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 21:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 22:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.90%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 21:59
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.90%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 21:58
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 21:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.29%EV -12.35%E -7.06%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-10 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -6.85%E -3.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 22:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 22:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-10 22:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.47%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.98%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 21:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 21:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -16.05%E -3.91%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 21:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-07-10 22:00
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-07-10 22:00