Die Schule der Quoten

Juventude v Vila Nova

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-10 22:04 UTC

Endstand: Juventude 1–0 Vila Nova

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Juventude (Heim)

Prognose 50.08%2.00faire Quote
EV -3.84%
Vorteil -2.00%
Kelly -4.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.92

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.76%50.05%50.11%53.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.821.851.9258.82%54.92%54.20%52.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Vila Nova (Auswärts)

Prognose 20.48%4.88faire Quote
EV +0.331%
Vorteil +0.068%
Kelly +0.085%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.78%20.61%20.52%22.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.004.514.504.9025.00%22.19%22.22%20.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.44%3.40faire Quote
EV -4.32%
Vorteil -1.33%
Kelly -1.92%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.18%29.33%29.36%30.27%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.113.123.2533.33%32.12%32.05%30.77%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 22:00
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -7.85%E -4.26%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.74%E -0.577%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 22:00
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.10%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.30%EV -2.95%E -0.621%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 22:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 21:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -11.35%E -6.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -12.86%E -7.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.46%EV -13.36%E -7.72%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-10 22:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 51.60%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-10 22:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 21:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 21:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 21:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 22:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.90%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 21:59
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.90%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 21:58
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 21:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.29%EV -12.35%E -7.06%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-10 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -6.85%E -3.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 22:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 22:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-10 22:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.47%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.98%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 21:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 21:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -16.05%E -3.91%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 21:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-07-10 22:00
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-07-10 22:00