مدرسة الاحتمالات

Juventude v Vila Nova

البداية: 2026-07-10 22:04 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Juventude 1–0 Vila Nova

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Juventude (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.08%2.00السعر العادل
EV -3.84%
الأفضلية -2.00%
Kelly -4.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.76%50.05%50.11%53.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.821.851.9258.82%54.92%54.20%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Vila Nova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.48%4.88السعر العادل
EV +0.331%
الأفضلية +0.068%
Kelly +0.085%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.78%20.61%20.52%22.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.514.504.9025.00%22.19%22.22%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.44%3.40السعر العادل
EV -4.32%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -1.92%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.18%29.33%29.36%30.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.113.123.2533.33%32.12%32.05%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.96%EV -10.35%E -5.78%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV +0.331%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -1.72%E -0.358%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-10 22:00
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -7.85%E -4.26%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -2.74%E -0.577%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 22:00
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.10%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.30%EV -2.95%E -0.621%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.32%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-10 21:59
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:00
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 22:00
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.76%E -0.801%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-10 21:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 22:00
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 21:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -11.35%E -6.41%K -14.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 22:00
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 51.56%EV -12.86%E -7.39%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-10 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.46%EV -13.36%E -7.72%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-10 22:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 51.60%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -5.81%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.10%EV -10.20%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-10 22:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 21:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.56%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.22%EV -6.84%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 21:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -5.84%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 21:59
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-10 22:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.90%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 21:59
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.90%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-10 21:58
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-10 21:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.29%EV -12.35%E -7.06%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -8.14%E -2.61%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-10 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -14.86%E -8.74%K -21.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -7.86%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.44%EV -6.85%E -3.68%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 22:00
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 22:00
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -9.91%E -2.25%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 21:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.34%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-10 22:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.47%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.98%E -3.05%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-10 21:59
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -14.00%E -3.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 21:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -16.05%E -3.91%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-10 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-10 21:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-10 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -18.10%E -4.52%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.68%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 22:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-07-10 22:00
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.19%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-07-10 22:00
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-10 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-07-10 22:00