Szkoła Kursów

Grêmio Novorizontino v Nautico PE

Początek: 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–2 Nautico PE

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

39 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.01%2.22kurs godziwy
EV -4.58%
Przewaga -2.16%
Kelly -4.09%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
43.51%45.09%44.96%46.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.83%48.78%47.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nautico PE (Goście)

Prognoza 25.90%3.86kurs godziwy
EV +2.30%
Przewaga +0.583%
Kelly +0.780%
Wzrost +0.018%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.33%25.79%25.99%27.10%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.503.503.9530.77%28.56%28.57%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.09%3.44kurs godziwy
EV -3.71%
Przewaga -1.12%
Kelly -1.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.31

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.33%29.11%29.06%29.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.053.163.153.3132.79%31.67%31.75%30.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (39 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.64%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.30%E +0.583%K +0.780%G +0.018%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 21:50
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 21:40
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 21:41
BetUS2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 21:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -10.43%E -5.24%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 21:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 21:40
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-14 21:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 21:40
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-11 07:10
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 21:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 21:41
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 21:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-14 21:40
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.38%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-14 21:40
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 21:41
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 21:41
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-14 21:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-14 21:39
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:41
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:40
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 21:50
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 21:41
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.76%EV -9.23%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-14 21:40
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 21:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-14 21:39
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.24%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-14 21:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-14 21:40
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-14 21:41
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-14 21:40
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 44.40%EV -11.33%E -5.75%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-14 21:41
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-06-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-06-14 21:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-06-14 21:50
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-06-14 21:50
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39%1.6%2026-06-14 21:50