مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Grêmio Novorizontino v Nautico PE
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Grêmio Novorizontino (المضيف)
التنبؤ 45.01%2.22السعر العادل
EV -4.58%
الأفضلية -2.16%
Kelly -4.09%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.51%45.09%44.96%46.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.83%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Nautico PE (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.90%3.86السعر العادل
EV +2.30%
الأفضلية +0.583%
Kelly +0.780%
النمو +0.018%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.33%25.79%25.99%27.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.503.503.9530.77%28.56%28.57%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 29.09%3.44السعر العادل
EV -3.71%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -1.60%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.31
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.33%29.11%29.06%29.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.163.153.3132.79%31.67%31.75%30.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.64%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.30%E +0.583%K +0.780%G +0.018% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| BetUS | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -10.43%E -5.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-11 07:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.38%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.76%EV -9.23%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.24%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.40%EV -11.33%E -5.75%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |