La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Grêmio Novorizontino v Nautico PE
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Grêmio Novorizontino (Casa)
Previsione 45.01%2.22quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -2.16%
Kelly -4.09%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.51%45.09%44.96%46.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.83%48.78%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nautico PE (Trasferta)
Previsione 25.90%3.86quota equa
EV +2.30%
Vantaggio +0.583%
Kelly +0.780%
Crescita +0.018%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.33%25.79%25.99%27.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.503.503.9530.77%28.56%28.57%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 29.09%3.44quota equa
EV -3.71%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.31
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.33%29.11%29.06%29.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.163.153.3132.79%31.67%31.75%30.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.64%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.30%E +0.583%K +0.780%G +0.018% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| BetUS | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Bovada | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -10.43%E -5.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-11 07:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.38%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.76%EV -9.23%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.24%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.40%EV -11.33%E -5.75%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |