Langue:Français
Grêmio Novorizontino v Nautico PE
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 45.01%2.22cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -4.09%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.51%45.09%44.96%46.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.83%48.78%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Nautico PE (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.90%3.86cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.583%
Kelly +0.780%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.33%25.79%25.99%27.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.503.9530.77%28.56%28.57%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.09%3.44cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.33%29.11%29.06%29.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.163.153.3132.79%31.67%31.75%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Grêmio Novorizontino (Local) : 45.01% ; Nautico PE (Visiteur) : 25.90% ; Match nul : 29.09%. Pour Nautico PE (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.86. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +2.30%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.64%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +2.30%E +0.583%K +0.780%G +0.018% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.03%EV -3.71%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.54%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.24%EV -10.43%E -5.24%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -2.88%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.39%EV -8.18%E -4.01%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.21%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -8.07%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-11 07:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -6.38%E -3.07%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.00%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.91%E -2.16%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.38%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.23%E -6.27%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -5.48%E -2.61%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.45%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -4.58%E -2.16%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -10.65%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.73%E -3.77%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.86%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.76%EV -9.23%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-14 21:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -7.28%E -3.53%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -13.24%E -3.95%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -8.36%E -2.65%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -9.08%E -4.50%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.82%E -3.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -9.98%E -4.99%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.28%EV -10.88%E -5.50%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-14 21:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.40%EV -11.33%E -5.75%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.27%E -3.70%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.39% | 1.6% | 2026-06-14 21:50 |