StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Londrina

Matchstart: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Hemma)

Prognos 53.56%1.87rättvist odds
EV -5.19%
Fördel -2.93%
Kelly -6.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.32%53.69%53.51%55.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.621.721.721.7761.73%58.14%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Borta)

Prognos 18.86%5.30rättvist odds
EV +3.73%
Fördel +0.678%
Kelly +0.829%
Tillväxt +0.031%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.94%18.70%18.98%19.72%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.604.934.855.5021.74%20.29%20.62%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.58%3.63rättvist odds
EV -3.48%
Fördel -0.995%
Kelly -1.39%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.76%27.61%27.51%28.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.82%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Grêmio Novorizontino (Hemma): 53.56%; Londrina (Borta): 18.86%; Oavgjort: 27.58%. För Londrina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.30. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 22:29
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.67%EV +2.41%E +0.444%K +0.544%G +0.013%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.23%E -8.16%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.041%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 22:55
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.71%EV -0.606%E -0.115%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:49
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 18:45
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.82%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.87%EV -2.87%E -0.557%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 22:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.66%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.38%EV -4.76%E -0.942%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 22:35
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 22:54
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 22:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:44
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:43
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 21:35
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 22:35
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 22:34
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 22:34
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 22:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.17%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:54
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.69%-0.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-03-22 22:50