مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio Novorizontino v Londrina

البداية: 2026-03-22 23:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

39 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.56%1.87السعر العادل
EV -5.19%
الأفضلية -2.93%
Kelly -6.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.32%53.69%53.51%55.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.721.721.7761.73%58.14%58.14%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Londrina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.86%5.30السعر العادل
EV +3.73%
الأفضلية +0.678%
Kelly +0.829%
النمو +0.031%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.94%18.70%18.98%19.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.604.934.855.5021.74%20.29%20.62%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.58%3.63السعر العادل
EV -3.48%
الأفضلية -0.995%
Kelly -1.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.76%27.61%27.51%28.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.82%29.85%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (39 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 22:29
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 18:50
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.67%EV +2.41%E +0.444%K +0.544%G +0.013%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:45
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.23%E -8.16%K -21.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.041%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 22:55
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.71%EV -0.606%E -0.115%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 22:55
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 18:49
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 18:45
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 53.82%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.87%EV -2.87%E -0.557%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 22:53
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.66%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.38%EV -4.76%E -0.942%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 22:35
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:00
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 22:55
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 22:54
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 22:54
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 22:54
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 19:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 22:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:44
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:43
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:44
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 22:45
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 21:35
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 22:35
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 22:54
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 22:54
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 22:34
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 22:34
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-22 22:54
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.17%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 22:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 22:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:54
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 22:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.74%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.69%-0.4%2026-03-22 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44%0.5%2026-03-22 22:50
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-03-22 22:50