A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Grêmio Novorizontino v Londrina
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
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Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Previsão 53.56%1.87odd justa
EV -5.19%
Vantagem -2.93%
Kelly -6.74%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.32%53.69%53.51%55.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.7761.73%58.14%58.14%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Londrina (Visitante)
Previsão 18.86%5.30odd justa
EV +3.73%
Vantagem +0.678%
Kelly +0.829%
Crescimento +0.031%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.94%18.70%18.98%19.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.604.934.855.5021.74%20.29%20.62%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 27.58%3.63odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -0.995%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.76%27.61%27.51%28.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.82%29.85%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.67%EV +2.41%E +0.444%K +0.544%G +0.013% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.23%E -8.16%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.041%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.71%EV -0.606%E -0.115%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.82%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.87%EV -2.87%E -0.557%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 22:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.66%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.38%EV -4.76%E -0.942%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:43 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.17%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.69% | -0.4% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |