L’École des cotesFrançais
Grêmio Novorizontino v Londrina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 53.56%1.87cote équitable
EV -5.19%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -6.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.32%53.69%53.51%55.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.721.721.7761.73%58.14%58.14%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Londrina (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.86%5.30cote équitable
EV +3.73%
Avantage +0.678%
Kelly +0.829%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.94%18.70%18.98%19.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.604.934.855.5021.74%20.29%20.62%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.58%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.48%
Avantage -0.995%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%27.61%27.51%28.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.82%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.67%EV +2.41%E +0.444%K +0.544%G +0.013% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.23%E -8.16%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.041%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.71%EV -0.606%E -0.115%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.82%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.87%EV -2.87%E -0.557%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 22:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.66%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.38%EV -4.76%E -0.942%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:43 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.17%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.69% | -0.4% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |