La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Grêmio Novorizontino v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 53.56%1.87momio equitativo
EV -5.19%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -6.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.32%53.69%53.51%55.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.721.7761.73%58.14%58.14%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 18.86%5.30momio equitativo
EV +3.73%
Ventaja +0.678%
Kelly +0.829%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.94%18.70%18.98%19.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.604.934.855.5021.74%20.29%20.62%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.58%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -0.995%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.76%27.61%27.51%28.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.353.353.5031.25%29.82%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.67%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 22:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.73%E +0.678%K +0.829%G +0.031% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.20%EV -5.19%E -2.93%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.67%EV +2.41%E +0.444%K +0.544%G +0.013% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.13%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -13.23%E -8.16%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -0.041%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.71%EV -0.606%E -0.115%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.38%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.98%EV -9.48%E -5.61%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.70%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 18:49 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.27%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -0.984%E -0.187%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.82%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.87%EV -2.87%E -0.557%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 22:53 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.66%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.38%EV -4.76%E -0.942%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.96%EV -8.45%E -2.54%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.88%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-22 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.85%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| Casumo | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.53%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.98%EV -8.53%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.28%EV -7.34%E -4.24%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.79%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:43 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.48%E -0.995%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -5.73%E -3.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -4.86%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Betway | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.67%EV -6.26%E -3.58%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -6.80%E -3.91%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.68%EV -8.41%E -4.92%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.32%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -7.87%E -4.58%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.61%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.94%EV -10.55%E -6.32%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.17%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.27%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.06%EV -8.94%E -5.26%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.35%EV -10.01%E -5.96%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 22:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.74% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.69% | -0.4% | 2026-03-22 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.69% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.45% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.99% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-03-22 22:50 |