Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Juventude

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV -7.08%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -6.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.41%45.59%45.55%45.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0451.28%50.17%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Visit)

Prediction 24.44%4.09fair odd
EV -7.12%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.35%24.44%25.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.713.753.8028.17%26.99%26.67%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.01%3.33fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%30.06%30.01%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.1534.48%32.79%32.79%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.41%EV -7.08%E -3.47%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 19:30
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -7.53%E -3.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.48%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-29 14:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -7.99%E -3.95%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 14:00
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -7.99%E -3.95%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -7.12%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.48%E -2.78%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-29 14:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.90%E -4.45%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.56%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-29 14:04
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51%NM 45.53%EV -9.81%E -4.95%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -13.23%E -3.73%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -6.98%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-29 14:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-29 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.01%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.98%E -3.33%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-29 14:20
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.18%E -5.73%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -8.34%E -2.22%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -12.98%E -4.48%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-29 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.