Язык:Русский
Grêmio Novorizontino v Juventude
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Grêmio Novorizontino (Хозяева)
Прогноз 49.12%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.24%
Преимущество -1.65%
Kelly -3.34%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.97
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.80%49.13%49.09%52.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.891.881.9758.14%52.93%53.05%50.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Juventude (Гости)
Прогноз 21.17%4.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.53%
Преимущество +0.722%
Kelly +0.908%
Рост +0.032%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.89
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.23%21.13%21.17%22.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.344.334.8925.00%23.03%23.09%20.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 29.71%3.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.44%
Преимущество -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.24%29.74%29.74%31.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.033.023.2536.36%33.05%33.06%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Grêmio Novorizontino (Хозяева): 49.12%; Juventude (Гости): 21.17%; Ничья: 29.71%. Для исхода «Juventude (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.72. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.89, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.53%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.62%EV +3.53%E +0.722%K +0.908%G +0.032% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.52%E -9.02%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -1.55%E -0.333%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 18:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.06%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.96%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.32%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.38%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.95%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |