Język:Polski
Grêmio Novorizontino v Juventude
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 49.12%2.04kurs godziwy
EV -3.24%
Przewaga -1.65%
Kelly -3.34%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.97
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
46.80%49.13%49.09%52.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.891.881.9758.14%52.93%53.05%50.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Juventude (Goście)
Prognoza 21.17%4.72kurs godziwy
EV +3.53%
Przewaga +0.722%
Kelly +0.908%
Wzrost +0.032%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.89
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.23%21.13%21.17%22.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.344.334.8925.00%23.03%23.09%20.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 29.71%3.37kurs godziwy
EV -3.44%
Przewaga -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.24%29.74%29.74%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.033.023.2536.36%33.05%33.06%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze): 49.12%; Juventude (Goście): 21.17%; Remis: 29.71%. Dla wyniku Juventude (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.72. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.89, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.53%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.62%EV +3.53%E +0.722%K +0.908%G +0.032% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.52%E -9.02%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -1.55%E -0.333%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 18:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.06%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.96%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.32%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.38%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.95%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |