语言:简体中文
Grêmio Novorizontino v Juventude
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)
预测 49.12%2.04公平赔率
EV -3.24%
优势 -1.65%
Kelly -3.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.97
博彩公司预测分布
46.80%49.13%49.09%52.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.891.881.9758.14%52.93%53.05%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
Juventude (客队)
预测 21.17%4.72公平赔率
EV +3.53%
优势 +0.722%
Kelly +0.908%
增长率 +0.032%
假设最高赔率为 4.89
博彩公司预测分布
19.23%21.13%21.17%22.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.344.334.8925.00%23.03%23.09%20.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.71%3.37公平赔率
EV -3.44%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.24%29.74%29.74%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.033.023.2536.36%33.05%33.06%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)：49.12%；Juventude (客队)：21.17%；平局：29.71%。 对于“Juventude (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.72。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.89，对应+3.53%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.62%EV +3.53%E +0.722%K +0.908%G +0.032% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.52%E -9.02%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -1.55%E -0.333%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 18:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.06%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.96%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.32%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.38%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.95%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |