StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino v Juventude

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio Novorizontino 0–1 Juventude

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim)

Prognose 49.12%2.04faire Quote
EV -3.24%
Vorteil -1.65%
Kelly -3.34%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.97

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.80%49.13%49.09%52.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.891.881.9758.14%52.93%53.05%50.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Auswärts)

Prognose 21.17%4.72faire Quote
EV +3.53%
Vorteil +0.722%
Kelly +0.908%
Wachstum +0.032%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.89

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.23%21.13%21.17%22.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.344.334.8925.00%23.03%23.09%20.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 29.71%3.37faire Quote
EV -3.44%
Vorteil -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.24%29.74%29.74%31.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.033.023.2536.36%33.05%33.06%30.77%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim): 49.12%; Juventude (Auswärts): 21.17%; Unentschieden: 29.71%. Für Juventude (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.72. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.89 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.53%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.77%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.62%EV +3.53%E +0.722%K +0.908%G +0.032%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.61%EV -3.73%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.96%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -15.52%E -9.02%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.490%E -0.104%K -0.133%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 18:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.84%EV -1.55%E -0.333%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 18:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.53%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -4.72%E -1.05%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 18:49
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.72%EV -5.78%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.02%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 18:45
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -3.24%E -1.65%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:54
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.40%EV -3.73%E -1.90%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -12.35%E -4.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.06%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.38%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 18:54
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.26%EV -11.59%E -6.44%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.84%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 18:54
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 18:49
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.15%E -4.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.32%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 18:35
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.35%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.69%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV -8.96%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.92%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:44
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:34
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.96%EV -5.21%E -2.70%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.47%EV -14.43%E -5.01%K -7.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 18:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.12%E -5.53%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.32%EV -7.17%E -3.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.38%EV -15.32%E -5.38%K -8.28%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 18:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -9.14%E -4.94%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.08%E -2.64%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.69%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -4.22%E -2.17%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -6.41%E -2.03%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:45
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.95%EV -7.66%E -4.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-09 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.95%EV -8.64%E -4.65%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.30%EV -13.19%E -3.22%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -18.29%E -6.65%K -10.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-09 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -6.19%E -3.24%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.89%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:45
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.68%E -3.52%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.31%E -3.83%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.86%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 18:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.03%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%1.0%2026-08-09 18:55