赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Grêmio Novorizontino v Criciuma

开赛时间： 2026-07-21 22:30 UTC

最终结果： Grêmio Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)

预测 42.65%2.34公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.80%
Kelly -3.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
41.70%42.61%42.67%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.162.162.2548.08%46.32%46.30%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Criciuma (客队)

预测 26.31%3.80公平赔率
EV -1.32%
优势 -0.353%
Kelly -0.482%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
25.04%26.41%26.27%27.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.463.403.7531.25%28.92%29.41%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.04%3.22公平赔率
EV -3.78%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.86%30.98%31.06%31.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.872.962.953.1034.84%33.80%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Grêmio Novorizontino (主队)：42.65%；Criciuma (客队)：26.31%；平局：31.04%。 对于“Criciuma (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.80。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-1.32%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.83%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.98%EV -2.38%E -0.641%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.19%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 22:20
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -4.90%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.43%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:25
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:15
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.85%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Bovada🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 15:35
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.32%E -0.353%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 22:15
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 22:15
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 22:15
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 21:50
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 22:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 22:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:55
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 15:34
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 15:35
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 22:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 22:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 22:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-21 22:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-07-21 22:25