Школа коэффициентов

Grêmio Novorizontino v Criciuma

Начало: 2026-07-21 22:30 UTC

Итог: Grêmio Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.65%2.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.04%
Преимущество -1.80%
Kelly -3.23%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.70%42.61%42.67%43.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.082.162.162.2548.08%46.32%46.30%44.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Criciuma (Гости)

Прогноз 26.31%3.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.32%
Преимущество -0.353%
Kelly -0.482%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.04%26.41%26.27%27.51%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.463.403.7531.25%28.92%29.41%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.04%3.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.78%
Преимущество -1.22%
Kelly -1.80%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.86%30.98%31.06%31.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.872.962.953.1034.84%33.80%33.90%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.83%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.98%EV -2.38%E -0.641%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.19%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 22:20
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -4.90%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.43%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 22:15
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 15:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 15:30
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.85%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 22:19
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 15:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.32%E -0.353%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 22:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 16:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 22:15
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 22:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 15:35
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 21:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 22:25
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:15
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 22:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:55
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 15:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 15:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 15:35
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 22:25
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-21 22:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-07-21 22:25