Die Schule der Quoten

Grêmio Novorizontino v Criciuma

Spielbeginn: 2026-07-21 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Grêmio Novorizontino 0–1 Criciuma

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Heim)

Prognose 42.65%2.34faire Quote
EV -4.04%
Vorteil -1.80%
Kelly -3.23%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.70%42.61%42.67%43.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.082.162.162.2548.08%46.32%46.30%44.44%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Criciuma (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.31%3.80faire Quote
EV -1.32%
Vorteil -0.353%
Kelly -0.482%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.04%26.41%26.27%27.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.203.463.403.7531.25%28.92%29.41%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 31.04%3.22faire Quote
EV -3.78%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -1.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.86%30.98%31.06%31.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.872.962.953.1034.84%33.80%33.90%32.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.83%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.98%EV -2.38%E -0.641%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.19%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 22:20
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -4.90%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.43%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:25
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 22:15
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:25
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 22:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 22:15
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 15:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 15:30
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.85%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 22:19
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 15:35
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.32%E -0.353%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 22:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 22:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 16:20
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 22:15
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 22:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 15:35
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-21 21:50
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 22:25
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:15
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 22:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 22:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 19:55
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 22:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 15:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 15:35
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 15:35
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-21 22:25
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 22:25
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%0.8%2026-07-21 22:25
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-07-21 22:20
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-07-21 22:25