La escuela de los momiosGrêmio Novorizontino v Criciuma
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 42.65%2.34momio equitativo
EV -4.04%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.70%42.61%42.67%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.162.162.2548.08%46.32%46.30%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Criciuma (Visitante)
Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.482%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%26.41%26.27%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.463.403.7531.25%28.92%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.04%3.22momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%30.98%31.06%31.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.872.962.953.1034.84%33.80%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.83%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.98%EV -2.38%E -0.641%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.19%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -4.90%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.43%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.85%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Bovada | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 22:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.32%E -0.353%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 22:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |