L’École des cotesGrêmio Novorizontino v Criciuma
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 42.65%2.34cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.70%42.61%42.67%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.082.162.162.2548.08%46.32%46.30%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Criciuma (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.482%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.04%26.41%26.27%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.463.403.7531.25%28.92%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.04%3.22cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.86%30.98%31.06%31.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.872.962.953.1034.84%33.80%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.83%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.98%EV -2.38%E -0.641%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.19%EV -4.09%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.86%EV -4.90%E -2.20%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -8.43%E -2.42%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.96%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.78%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.18%E -2.81%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.19%EV -7.50%E -2.52%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.92%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.19%EV -6.85%E -1.94%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Bovada | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.59%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 22:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.34%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.32%E -0.353%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.64%E -0.714%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-21 16:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.88%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.22%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.90%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-21 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -11.85%E -3.54%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -5.33%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-21 22:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.18%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.96%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -5.27%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.43%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-21 19:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-21 22:15 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.53%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.92%E -3.80%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-21 15:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -14.48%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.99%E -3.44%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.15%EV -11.29%E -5.43%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -10.61%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00% | 0.8% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-07-21 22:25 |