Школа коэффициентов

Grêmio Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense

Начало: 2026-07-04 19:00 UTC

Итог: Grêmio Novorizontino 3–0 Atletico Goianiense

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.23%2.07справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.54%
Преимущество -1.77%
Kelly -3.54%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.07%48.35%48.30%51.66%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.891.912.0057.14%52.78%52.36%50.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Гости)

Прогноз 23.12%4.33справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.04%
Преимущество +0.897%
Kelly +1.15%
Рост +0.047%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.09%22.97%23.08%24.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.994.004.5027.78%25.06%25.00%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.65%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.16%
Преимущество -0.935%
Kelly -1.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.71%28.68%28.62%30.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.29%31.25%29.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.60%E -8.91%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +4.04%E +0.897%K +1.15%G +0.047%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 18:50
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.43%EV +3.80%E +0.847%K +1.09%G +0.041%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 18:45
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 18:45
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.17%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 18:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 18:45
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 18:45
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.06%E -0.977%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:45
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 18:45
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -5.91%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -3.16%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:55
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 18:45
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.07%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.68%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 18:50
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 16:55
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 18:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:35
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 18:45
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 18:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 18:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 18:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 16:55
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-07-04 18:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-07-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-07-04 18:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-04 18:55