مدرسة الاحتمالات

Grêmio Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense

البداية: 2026-07-04 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Grêmio Novorizontino 3–0 Atletico Goianiense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.23%2.07السعر العادل
EV -3.54%
الأفضلية -1.77%
Kelly -3.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.07%48.35%48.30%51.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.751.891.912.0057.14%52.78%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Goianiense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.12%4.33السعر العادل
EV +4.04%
الأفضلية +0.897%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.047%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.09%22.97%23.08%24.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.994.004.5027.78%25.06%25.00%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.65%3.49السعر العادل
EV -3.16%
الأفضلية -0.935%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.71%28.68%28.62%30.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.29%31.25%29.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.60%E -8.91%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +4.04%E +0.897%K +1.15%G +0.047%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 18:50
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.43%EV +3.80%E +0.847%K +1.09%G +0.041%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 18:45
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 18:45
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.17%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 18:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 18:45
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 18:45
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.06%E -0.977%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:45
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 18:45
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -5.91%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -3.16%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:55
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 18:45
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.07%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.68%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 18:50
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 16:55
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 18:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:35
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 18:45
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 18:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 18:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 18:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 16:55
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 16:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-07-04 18:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-07-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-07-04 18:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-04 18:55