A Escola das Odds

Grêmio Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense

Início: 2026-07-04 19:00 UTC

Final: Grêmio Novorizontino 3–0 Atletico Goianiense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)

Previsão 48.23%2.07odd justa
EV -3.54%
Vantagem -1.77%
Kelly -3.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.07%48.35%48.30%51.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.891.912.0057.14%52.78%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Previsão 23.12%4.33odd justa
EV +4.04%
Vantagem +0.897%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.09%22.97%23.08%24.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.994.004.5027.78%25.06%25.00%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.65%3.49odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -0.935%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.71%28.68%28.62%30.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.29%31.25%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.60%E -8.91%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +4.04%E +0.897%K +1.15%G +0.047%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 18:50
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.43%EV +3.80%E +0.847%K +1.09%G +0.041%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 18:45
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 18:45
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.17%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 18:54
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 18:45
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 18:45
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.06%E -0.977%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:45
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 18:45
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -5.91%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -3.16%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:55
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 18:45
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 18:55
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 18:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:55
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.07%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.68%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 18:50
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 18:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 16:55
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 18:45
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 18:35
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 18:45
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 18:55
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-04 18:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 18:45
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 18:55
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 16:25
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 16:55
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 16:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.20%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82%0.1%2026-07-04 18:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-07-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-07-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-07-04 18:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%1.4%2026-07-04 18:55