L’École des cotesGrêmio Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Prévision 48.23%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -3.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.07%48.35%48.30%51.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.891.912.0057.14%52.78%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.12%4.33cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +0.897%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.047%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.09%22.97%23.08%24.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.994.004.5027.78%25.06%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.65%3.49cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.935%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.71%28.68%28.62%30.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.29%31.25%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.60%E -8.91%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +4.04%E +0.897%K +1.15%G +0.047% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.43%EV +3.80%E +0.847%K +1.09%G +0.041% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.17%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 18:54 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.06%E -0.977%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -5.91%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -3.16%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.07%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.68%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |