La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Grêmio Novorizontino v Atletico Goianiense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 48.23%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.07%48.35%48.30%51.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.891.912.0057.14%52.78%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)
Predicción 23.12%4.33momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +0.897%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.09%22.97%23.08%24.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.994.004.5027.78%25.06%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.935%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.71%28.68%28.62%30.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.203.203.3833.33%31.29%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -15.60%E -8.91%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV +4.04%E +0.897%K +1.15%G +0.047% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.43%EV +3.80%E +0.847%K +1.09%G +0.041% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.02%E -1.20%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +1.72%E +0.392%K +0.507%G +0.009% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Bovada | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.17%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -1.74%E -0.410%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 18:54 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -2.90%E -0.690%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.06%E -0.977%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.29%EV -8.36%E -4.40%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -5.91%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -3.16%E -0.935%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.50%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.28%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.07%EV -7.88%E -4.13%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.68%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.10%EV -9.81%E -5.25%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.83%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.84%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -3.54%E -1.77%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -6.92%E -3.58%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -9.33%E -4.96%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -6.89%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.21%EV -7.40%E -3.85%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.36%EV -10.77%E -5.82%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.24%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -9.75%E -3.10%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -11.74%E -6.41%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.15%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.39%EV -12.70%E -7.02%K -15.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -14.46%E -3.91%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -5.95%E -3.05%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.20% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.82% | 0.1% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |