Language:English
Goiás v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 55.55%1.80fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.82%55.51%55.62%58.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.85%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 17.30%5.78fair odd
EV +3.80%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +0.760%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.07%17.29%17.21%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.245.256.0021.74%19.08%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.15%3.68fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.20%27.17%28.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.353.5231.75%30.04%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 55.55%; Londrina (Visit): 17.30%; Draw: 27.15%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -13.90%E -8.97%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +3.80%E +0.634%K +0.760%G +0.029% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.12%EV +2.76%E +0.465%K +0.559%G +0.015% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-10 22:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -8.77%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.07%EV -5.19%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.17%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 22:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.12%E -6.95%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-10 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.82%E -3.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 22:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.12%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
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