Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goiás v Londrina

2026-08-10 22:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Goiás (Local)

Prediction 54.83%1.82fair odd
EV -7.34%
Edge -4.34%
Kelly -10.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.11%54.88%54.83%55.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.6961.73%60.00%59.88%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Visit)

Prediction 18.66%5.36fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -0.761%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%18.56%18.66%20.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.874.905.1522.22%20.52%20.41%19.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%26.55%26.52%26.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.483.503.6030.30%28.74%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -7.34%E -4.34%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -6.72%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.54%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 14:20
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.79%EV -7.34%E -4.34%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -6.66%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 19:45
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.99%EV -3.92%E -0.761%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 14:18
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.15%EV -7.89%E -4.70%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.99%EV -3.92%E -0.761%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 14:19
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 14:23
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -8.44%E -5.05%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -16.04%E -3.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-29 14:25
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-29 14:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -9.54%E -5.78%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-29 14:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -11.18%E -6.90%K -18.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -11.38%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-29 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.