默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás v Londrina

开赛时间: 2026-08-10 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Goiás 1–0 Londrina

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás (主队)

预测 55.55%1.80公平赔率
EV -3.35%
优势 -1.92%
Kelly -4.52%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
52.82%55.51%55.62%58.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.85%59.88%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Londrina (客队)

预测 17.30%5.78公平赔率
EV +3.80%
优势 +0.634%
Kelly +0.760%
增长率 +0.029%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.07%17.29%17.21%19.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.245.256.0021.74%19.08%19.05%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.15%3.68公平赔率
EV -4.42%
优势 -1.26%
Kelly -1.76%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.52

博彩公司预测分布
26.58%27.20%27.17%28.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.153.333.353.5231.75%30.04%29.85%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Goiás (主队):55.55%;Londrina (客队):17.30%;平局:27.15%。 对于“Londrina (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.78。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.00,对应+3.80%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -13.90%E -8.97%K -25.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +3.80%E +0.634%K +0.760%G +0.029%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.12%EV +2.76%E +0.465%K +0.559%G +0.015%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:25
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 22:23
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -8.77%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 22:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 22:15
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.07%EV -5.19%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 22:19
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.17%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 22:18
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 21:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 22:00
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.12%E -6.95%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-10 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.82%E -3.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 22:16
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.12%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-10 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 22:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-08-10 22:25