Idioma:Español
Goiás v Londrina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Goiás (Local)
Predicción 55.55%1.80momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.82%55.51%55.62%58.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.85%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Londrina (Visitante)
Predicción 17.30%5.78momio equitativo
EV +3.80%
Ventaja +0.634%
Kelly +0.760%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.07%17.29%17.21%19.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.245.256.0021.74%19.08%19.05%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%27.20%27.17%28.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.333.353.5231.75%30.04%29.85%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Goiás (Local): 55.55%; Londrina (Visitante): 17.30%; Empate: 27.15%. Para Londrina (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.78. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.80%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -13.90%E -8.97%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +3.80%E +0.634%K +0.760%G +0.029% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.94I 16.84%NM 16.12%EV +2.76%E +0.465%K +0.559%G +0.015% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-10 22:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -8.77%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 21:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-10 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.07%EV -5.19%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 21:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.17%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 22:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.12%E -6.95%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-10 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.82%E -3.75%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-10 22:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.12%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |