Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás v Londrina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 22:30 UTC

Score final : Goiás 1–0 Londrina

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 55.55%1.80cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -4.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.82%55.51%55.62%58.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.85%59.88%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Londrina (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.30%5.78cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +0.634%
Kelly +0.760%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.07%17.29%17.21%19.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.245.256.0021.74%19.08%19.05%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.15%3.68cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.58%27.20%27.17%28.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.333.353.5231.75%30.04%29.85%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Goiás (Local) : 55.55% ; Londrina (Visiteur) : 17.30% ; Match nul : 27.15%. Pour Londrina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.78. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.80%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -13.90%E -8.97%K -25.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +3.80%E +0.634%K +0.760%G +0.029%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.12%EV +2.76%E +0.465%K +0.559%G +0.015%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:25
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 22:23
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -8.77%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 22:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 22:15
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.07%EV -5.19%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 22:19
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.17%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 22:18
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 21:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 22:00
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.12%E -6.95%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-10 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.82%E -3.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 22:16
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.12%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-10 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 22:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-08-10 22:25