StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Goiás v Londrina

Matchstart: 2026-08-10 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Goiás 1–0 Londrina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Goiás (Hemma)

Prognos 55.55%1.80rättvist odds
EV -3.35%
Fördel -1.92%
Kelly -4.52%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.82%55.51%55.62%58.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.671.671.7464.52%59.85%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Londrina (Borta)

Prognos 17.30%5.78rättvist odds
EV +3.80%
Fördel +0.634%
Kelly +0.760%
Tillväxt +0.029%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.07%17.29%17.21%19.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.245.256.0021.74%19.08%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.15%3.68rättvist odds
EV -4.42%
Fördel -1.26%
Kelly -1.76%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.52

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.58%27.20%27.17%28.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.333.353.5231.75%30.04%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Goiás (Hemma): 55.55%; Londrina (Borta): 17.30%; Oavgjort: 27.15%. För Londrina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.78. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.80%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -13.90%E -8.97%K -25.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV +3.80%E +0.634%K +0.760%G +0.029%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 16.12%EV +2.76%E +0.465%K +0.559%G +0.015%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.28%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.19%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.71%EV +2.07%E +0.351%K +0.423%G +0.009%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.39%E -0.244%K -0.296%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 22:25
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.49%EV -3.12%E -0.557%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 22:23
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.86%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 22:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.60%EV -8.77%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 22:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 21:59
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -10.01%E -6.18%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.85%E -0.882%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 22:15
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.07%EV -5.19%E -0.948%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.79%E -4.69%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -6.58%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:00
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 22:24
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.89%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 22:19
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.17%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 22:18
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.72%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -9.17%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.19%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.63%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 21:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -6.13%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 21:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -11.75%E -3.62%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 22:25
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 22:00
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.25%EV -10.57%E -6.56%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -11.12%E -6.95%K -18.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -13.50%E -2.70%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-10 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.19%EV -17.82%E -3.75%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-10 22:16
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.11%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.12%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.69%E -3.98%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.18%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-10 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -20.42%E -4.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -14.47%E -4.59%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 22:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-08-10 22:25
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.30%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-08-10 22:25