语言:简体中文
Fortaleza v São Bernardo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fortaleza (主队)
预测 54.28%1.84公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -0.968%
Kelly -2.16%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.81
博彩公司预测分布
50.71%54.09%54.53%57.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.691.681.8163.69%59.26%59.52%55.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
São Bernardo (客队)
预测 18.18%5.50公平赔率
EV +0.009%
优势 +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
16.46%18.28%18.08%20.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.045.005.5022.22%19.83%20.00%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.54%3.63公平赔率
EV -0.872%
优势 -0.242%
Kelly -0.335%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.87%27.63%27.39%29.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fortaleza (主队)：54.28%；São Bernardo (客队)：18.18%；平局：27.54%。 对于“São Bernardo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.499。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.500，对应+0.009%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -1.75%E -0.968%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -2.72%E -0.508%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.68%EV -3.81%E -0.720%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -4.54%E -0.864%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -12.61%E -7.83%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -13.15%E -8.22%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.04% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |