StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fortaleza v São Bernardo

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-19 22:30 UTC

Endstand: Fortaleza 1–1 São Bernardo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fortaleza (Heim)

Prognose 54.28%1.84faire Quote
EV -1.75%
Vorteil -0.968%
Kelly -2.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.71%54.09%54.53%57.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.571.691.681.8163.69%59.26%59.52%55.25%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.18%5.50faire Quote
EV +0.009%
Vorteil +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.46%18.28%18.08%20.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.045.005.5022.22%19.83%20.00%18.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.54%3.63faire Quote
EV -0.872%
Vorteil -0.242%
Kelly -0.335%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.87%27.63%27.39%29.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Fortaleza (Heim): 54.28%; São Bernardo (Auswärts): 18.18%; Unentschieden: 27.54%. Für São Bernardo (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.499. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.500 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.009%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 21:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -1.75%E -0.968%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -2.72%E -0.508%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 22:29
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.68%EV -3.81%E -0.720%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -4.54%E -0.864%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 22:29
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 22:29
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 21:45
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -12.61%E -7.83%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -13.15%E -8.22%K -21.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-19 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 22:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 21:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 22:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 22:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 22:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-19 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-19 22:29
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-19 22:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.04%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-19 22:10