Язык:Русский
Fortaleza v São Bernardo
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fortaleza (Хозяева)
Прогноз 54.28%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.75%
Преимущество -0.968%
Kelly -2.16%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.81
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.71%54.09%54.53%57.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.571.691.681.8163.69%59.26%59.52%55.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
São Bernardo (Гости)
Прогноз 18.18%5.50справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.009%
Преимущество +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.46%18.28%18.08%20.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.045.005.5022.22%19.83%20.00%18.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.54%3.63справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.872%
Преимущество -0.242%
Kelly -0.335%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.87%27.63%27.39%29.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fortaleza (Хозяева): 54.28%; São Bernardo (Гости): 18.18%; Ничья: 27.54%. Для исхода «São Bernardo (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.499. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.500, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.009%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -1.75%E -0.968%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -2.72%E -0.508%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.68%EV -3.81%E -0.720%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -4.54%E -0.864%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -12.61%E -7.83%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -13.15%E -8.22%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.04% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |