Langue:Français
Fortaleza v São Bernardo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 54.28%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.968%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.81
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.71%54.09%54.53%57.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.691.681.8163.69%59.26%59.52%55.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
São Bernardo (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.18%5.50cote équitable
EV +0.009%
Avantage +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.46%18.28%18.08%20.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.045.005.5022.22%19.83%20.00%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.54%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.872%
Avantage -0.242%
Kelly -0.335%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.87%27.63%27.39%29.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortaleza (Local) : 54.28% ; São Bernardo (Visiteur) : 18.18% ; Match nul : 27.54%. Pour São Bernardo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.499. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.500, soit une espérance positive de +0.009%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -1.75%E -0.968%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -2.72%E -0.508%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.68%EV -3.81%E -0.720%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -4.54%E -0.864%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -12.61%E -7.83%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -13.15%E -8.22%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-19 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-19 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-19 22:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-19 22:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90% | 0.5% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.04% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-19 22:10 |