StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortaleza v São Bernardo

Matchstart: 2026-08-19 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Fortaleza 1–1 São Bernardo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

46 spelbolag (16 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortaleza (Hemma)

Prognos 54.28%1.84rättvist odds
EV -1.75%
Fördel -0.968%
Kelly -2.16%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.81

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.71%54.09%54.53%57.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.691.681.8163.69%59.26%59.52%55.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Borta)

Prognos 18.18%5.50rättvist odds
EV +0.009%
Fördel +0.002%
Kelly +0.002%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.46%18.28%18.08%20.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.505.045.005.5022.22%19.83%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.54%3.63rättvist odds
EV -0.872%
Fördel -0.242%
Kelly -0.335%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.87%27.63%27.39%29.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.353.353.6032.26%29.82%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fortaleza (Hemma): 54.28%; São Bernardo (Borta): 18.18%; Oavgjort: 27.54%. För São Bernardo (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.499. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.500, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.009%.

Spelbolagsodds (46 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.28%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -8.27%E -4.89%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 21:45
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.72%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 21:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +0.009%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-19 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -1.75%E -0.968%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.93%EV -2.72%E -0.508%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-19 22:29
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.63%E -0.684%K -0.844%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.872%E -0.242%K -0.335%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:00
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.06%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.68%EV -3.81%E -0.720%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.83%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -4.54%E -0.864%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -3.92%E -2.22%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -7.18%E -4.20%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 22:29
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 22:29
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.96%EV -6.35%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-19 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.99%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 22:10
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -9.35%E -5.60%K -13.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 21:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -8.81%E -5.24%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:10
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 21:45
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -12.61%E -7.83%K -20.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -13.15%E -8.22%K -21.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-19 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -12.07%E -7.45%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-19 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.90%EV -14.78%E -9.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.90%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-19 22:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -5.01%E -2.86%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.89%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 22:28
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.83%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-19 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 21:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.24%EV -10.44%E -6.33%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.12%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-19 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.68%EV -3.38%E -1.90%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-19 22:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.74%EV -2.84%E -1.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -11.34%E -3.52%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 22:29
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.72%E -4.54%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 22:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 22:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.71%EV -2.29%E -1.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-19 22:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -5.55%E -3.19%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:29
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.17%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-19 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-19 22:29
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.52%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.17%E -4.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-19 22:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%0.5%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.07%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.11%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-19 22:10
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.04%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-08-19 22:10